Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.589950 0.695035 0.811744 0.950735 1.111512 1.291390 1.507638
2024-12-15 0.517746 0.672611 0.860273 1.103401 1.408943 1.778990 2.259810
2024-12-22 0.417271 0.594106 0.826487 1.151772 1.592475 2.165494 2.963117
2024-12-29 0.354052 0.549117 0.825450 1.240669 1.842838 2.677181 3.911659
2025-01-05 0.298759 0.502805 0.813188 1.311639 2.081640 3.212666 4.981750
2025-01-12 0.245065 0.446526 0.774765 1.336471 2.257590 3.686643 6.040354
2025-01-19 0.202678 0.398540 0.739247 1.358327 2.431834 4.183887 7.209981
2025-01-26 0.176206 0.371995 0.733849 1.428552 2.695947 4.861191 8.763516
2025-02-02 0.165275 0.371979 0.775290 1.588363 3.139562 5.897746 11.056020
2025-02-09 0.144924 0.348151 0.767059 1.654082 3.423575 6.697008 13.046101
2025-02-16 0.120915 0.310431 0.723410 1.642119 3.558213 7.244688 14.656322
2025-02-23 0.098502 0.270355 0.666214 1.590973 3.605969 7.634227 16.020601
2025-03-02 0.080000 0.235256 0.613843 1.543408 3.660484 8.058909 17.540713
2025-03-09 0.072227 0.225579 0.618449 1.625332 4.006873 9.119258 20.469775
2025-03-16 0.059459 0.198523 0.574708 1.585126 4.075295 9.613174 22.304307
2025-03-23 0.052347 0.185629 0.564176 1.624282 4.333578 10.548912 25.193170
2025-03-30 0.045996 0.173111 0.551846 1.656573 4.581187 11.494661 28.223827
2025-04-06 0.039183 0.156859 0.525197 1.645352 4.719090 12.208980 30.826577
2025-04-13 0.033677 0.143207 0.502873 1.641596 4.875699 12.988067 33.674900
2025-04-20 0.030581 0.137278 0.502933 1.702686 5.215095 14.252471 37.818781
2025-04-27 0.030177 0.141619 0.537084 1.872796 5.880299 16.404753 44.345263
2025-05-04 0.027494 0.135912 0.536580 1.936065 6.255320 17.868381 49.338608
2025-05-11 0.023605 0.123669 0.510507 1.912739 6.377068 18.693091 52.824352